Top Performing Decklists
| Deck | Creator | Record | Best Finish |
|---|---|---|---|
| Izzet Prowess | badgods | 9-1 | 1st in MTGO Standard Challenge 64 #12772693 |
| Izzet Prowess | nils bartels | 10-4 | None |
| Izzet Prowess | fabian rogatschnig | 9-5 | None |
| Izzet Prowess | neil cruz | 6-2 | None |
| Izzet Prowess | pierre marzano | 7-1 | None |
| Izzet Prowess | shunsuke sato | 7-5 | None |
Performance Stats (Last 14 Days)
Win Rate Impact
Top Table Win Rate
Meta Trend
Sample Size
Tournament Results
Average Copies
Archetypes Using This Card:
Azorius Omniscience , Dimir Midrange , Izzet Mill , Izzet Prowess , Izzet Spellslingers , Jeskai Control , Jeskai Oculus , Unknown Archetype
Meta Performance Analysis
Stern Lesson ranks #2700 out of approximately 5129 cards in raw efficiency (top 53%).
Game Impact Factor
Color Differential
Blue average: 50.3%
Performance compared to other Blue cardsBased on our comprehensive multi-metric analysis, Stern Lesson is an underperforming card in the current meta.
Recommended number of copies: 1
Win Rate Timeline
Card Efficiency Analysis
Raw Efficiency (Win Rate/Mana)
Relative Efficiency
Performance Efficiency: 4.22 (Win rate × Top 8 rate ÷ Mana value)
At 3 mana, the average win rate in the format is 47.5%. Stern Lesson has a win rate of 58.2%, making it 22.6% better than other 3-mana cards.
Top Performing Partners
| Card Name | Type | Deck Count | Win Rate | 1st Places |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torch the Tower | Instant | 6 | 62.8% | 2 |
| Three Steps Ahead | Instant | 5 | 61.4% | 2 |
| Aether Gust | Instant | 7 | 58.4% | 1 |
| Essence Scatter | Instant | 7 | 54.6% | 1 |
| The Mightstone and Weakstone | Legendary Artifact — Powerstone | 10 | 54.5% | 2 |
| Cityscape Leveler | Artifact Creature — Construct | 10 | 54.5% | 2 |
| Volcanic Spite | Instant | 10 | 53.9% | 1 |
| Negate | Instant | 28 | 51.2% | 3 |
| Sublime Epiphany | Instant | 10 | 49.8% | 1 |
| Indomitable Creativity | Sorcery | 17 | 49.5% | 1 |
Card Synergy Analysis
Cards that perform better with Stern Lesson than they do on average. A positive synergy score indicates stronger performance together.
| Card Name | Type | Mana | Decks | Win Rate Together | Win Rate Apart | Synergy Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aether Gust | Instant | 2 | 5 | 75.0% | 57.6% | +17.4% |
| Volcanic Spite | Instant | 2 | 10 | 69.8% | 60.3% | +9.5% |
| Behold the Multiverse | Instant | 4 | 7 | 65.8% | 59.7% | +6.1% |
| Sublime Epiphany | Instant | 6 | 9 | 64.0% | 58.6% | +5.4% |
| Torrential Gearhulk | Artifact Creature — Construct | 6 | 14 | 60.9% | 57.5% | +3.4% |
| Indomitable Creativity | Sorcery | 3 | 14 | 60.9% | 57.8% | +3.2% |
| Rending Volley | Instant | 1 | 14 | 60.9% | 58.6% | +2.3% |
| Shark Typhoon | Enchantment | 6 | 10 | 60.0% | 57.8% | +2.2% |
| Magma Opus | Instant | 8 | 14 | 60.9% | 59.4% | +1.6% |
| Spikefield Hazard | Instant | 1 | 13 | 58.9% | 58.1% | +0.9% |
Top Archetypes
| Archetype | Deck Count | % of Archetype | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Izzet Prowess | 25 | 2.5% | 50.0% |
| Dimir Midrange | 2 | 0.1% | 26.7% |
| Unknown Archetype | 2 | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jeskai Oculus | 2 | 0.3% | 31.2% |
| Azorius Omniscience | 1 | 0.1% | 100.0% |
Statistics Explanation
| Statistic | Description | Formula |
|---|---|---|
| Win Rate Impact | How much this card increases or decreases the win rate of decks that include it, compared to the average deck in the format. | (Win rate of decks with this card) - (Average win rate of all decks) |
| Top Table Win Rate | A weighted win rate that gives more significance to performance in higher tournament placements. First place finishes count for 2x, with diminishing weight down to 8th place. | ∑(wins × placement_weight) / ∑((wins + losses) × placement_weight) |
| Meta Trend | Shows if the card is performing better or worse in the most recent period compared to earlier periods. Positive values indicate improving performance. | (Win rate in recent half of time period) - (Win rate in earlier half of time period) |
| Confidence Factor | A measure of statistical reliability based on sample size. The progress bar indicates how confident we are in the statistics (with larger sample sizes providing higher confidence). | log10(Number of decks + 1) |
| Average Copies | The average number of copies of this card included in decks that use it. | ∑(Copies in each deck) / (Number of decks) |
| Card Synergy Score | Measures how well this card performs with other cards compared to their individual performance. | (Win rate together) - (Average of individual win rates) |
| Raw Efficiency | Win rate points per mana invested. Higher values indicate better returns on mana investment. | (Win rate) / (Mana value) |
| Relative Efficiency | How efficient this card is compared to the average card of the same mana value. | ((Win rate) / (Format average win rate for same mana)) / (Mana value) |
| Performance Efficiency | Combined metric that accounts for win rate, tournament success, and mana investment. | (Win rate × Top 8 placement rate) / (Mana value) |
| Game Impact Factor | A measure of how much this card affects game outcomes, based on win rate adjusted by its deviation from the format average. | Win rate × (1 + (Win rate - Format average) / 100) |
| Color Differential | How this card's win rate compares to the average win rate of other cards of the same color. | Win rate - Average win rate for same color |
All statistics are calculated using tournament data from the selected time period. Sample sizes below 10 decks may not provide statistically significant results.